The beginning of the end for the GOP

Is this the beginning of the end for the Republican Party?   Could be.  Look at the Senate which after tonight will have won 3 of the last 4 elections. The one loss was the Tea Party election but they are no longer a relevant organization.

The GOP is basically a white male party and with 50% of America now NOT white this party is slowly losing relevance.  Social conservatives are losing ground every election.

Americans are not really excited about, "small government, anti-tax, no compromise activists" that won two years ago.  Seriously - the GOP is almost 100% white and with the nation's white share shrinking every year the only ones left will be the white billionaires who now control the party.

Pew Research said that in 2008 76% of the blacks in America were Democrat's and 4% Republican. 61% of Latinos are Democrat's.

It's no wonder all of the white Governors are anti-union. It's because unions who consist of workers (not the billionaires) also contribute to the Democratic Party.

In the past this was an even deal.  Unions contribute to the Democratic Party and the Chamber of Commerce contributes to the Republican Party.

ANYWAY - tonight - what to watch.

Virginia - a big breakthrough for Obama in 2008. Virginia mirrored the national election in 2008 and if there is an  early  call for either candidate  that dude will probably win the national election.

OBAMA - wins

Ohio - of course Ohio.  The reason Ohio is so important is that this state resembles America. Everything about America is contained in one State.   Obama leads in Ohio but in 2008 he carried the male vote.  Probably not this year so he really needs the females to come out.  

Ohio has a ground zero - Lucas County. Watch what Lucas County does.  This is where the big Romney Jeep ad hit.  Lake County (east of Cleveland) picks the winner normally.

Obama - wins

North Carolina is leaning towards Romney. No big black vote for Obama this time.  The key are here are the minority counties.  Durham.  If there is heavy turnout in Durham County, good for Obama, if not, good for Romney.

Romney Wins

Florida - God help us with those people. Complete toss-up.   The good thing is that by the time we actually know who FLA voted for in 3 weeks the election will have been won.    You know why Florida is so weird?     It's because the northerners who move there move to south Florida so the south is liberal.  While the southerners who move to Florida move to northern Florida so the north is conservative.

Who Cares - toss up

New Hampshire - these guys got it together.  BAM - results are in  Watch Manchester. What Manchester does the state does. 

Obama wins

Pennsylvania - Lost of media talk about Penn but there is no0t a chance in hell Romney wins.  He NEEDS to get the blue collar vote. The reason for the media is that Pennsylvania has a very large amount of independent voters.

Obama win with ease. 

Michigan - Macomb County home of the Regan Democrats  and Oakland County. If Obama can break even in this very republican area it's trouble for the GOP Romney HAS TO WIN Oakland County.  Obama has to win the Minorities because Romney will win the white vote.  Romney needs 55% of the white vote.

Obama - no problem

Colorado - 70% of the Colorado votes are already in.  Problem is that there are problems.  Obama should win because of woman, Latinos and the young vote, but by how much.

Obama but it could be close

Wisconsin - Who cares about Madison. Milwaukee and Green Bay - this will come down to the nothern "Walker" counties.  Obama won the north in 2008 but Walker won in 2010 and the recall.

Id the north is blue this goes for Obama. Red, good news for Romney.  And of course there is Paul Ryan and Rock County.  Obama won with 64% in 2008 . . . . . Ryan is on the ticket twice as he is running for Congress also.

Obama - not a chance he DOES NOT wins Wisconsin - are you seeing a trend here?

Late Night

Iowa - early votes are already tabulated. Young voters will count a lot for Obama. Probebly not as much as 2008 but still an abundance.  There is a lot of stuff going on in Iowa besides THIS election. a big gay mariage fight  and a number of  big lower level political fights

Probably Obama

Nevada/Las Vegas - I'm bored

Obama - not even close

The media says this is a close election - NOT.