Eagles, pointspreads and TV

Election forecast taking 14 major polls into account

Obama's convention bump has subsided now.

Popular vote  Obama 51.1%  Mitch 47.8% 

Electoral Vote  Obama 305.9 Mitch 232.1 

Chance of winning - Obama 74.8%  

A lot of pollsters are really interested in Wisconsin.  Oddly people that LIKE Walker are voting for Obama! A new liberal poll came out yesterday giving Obama a 1 point lead which is better their their last liberal poll.

----------------------------------------

So yesterday I talked about the Eagles and how I did not believe they were as good as a 2-0 team.  ON THE OTHER HAND!!!   As you all know I have an ongoing 21 year study of point spreads and their relationship with winning and losing and the Eagles are in good shape, THIS YEAR.

My theorem which started with a rule of inference which turned into an axiom 21 years ago and through a deductive apparatus of a formal system states that a teams accumulated failures and success against a point spread will always have pressure to move back to even.

This is do to human nature. The worse a team plays the less people will put money on them, the better a team plays the more people will wager on that team.  Humans are stupid when it comes to the NFL.

So what does that mean for the Eagles? It's good news. The Eagles are 2-0 while averaging losing to the spread by 5 points a game.  In theory then at some point there will be the upward pressure for beating the point spread which will being you a victory.  And since they are already 2-0 . . . . . . . .

In the last four years if you have a winning record against the spread you have an 80% chance to having a winning record straight up.  I have to assume then that beating the spread normally will win the game.

Green Bay are 3.5 point favs on the road vs. Seattle
Philadelphia is 4 point favs on the road vs. Arizona
-------------------------------------------------------------

I'm not sure why everybody is so excited about Walkers Act 10 getting thrown out by a  "left wing activist judge" and restoring two major Unions.  BUT - as normal this will go to the "right wing zealot" Wisconsin Supreme Court which will shoot down the latest ruling.

So . . . . . why get excited.
---------------------------------------------------------------

TV Review - Revolution.  I give it a C+ at the moment but on the edge.  Good idea but last night was more of a meet and greet with a bunch of meaningless fighting establishing that one good guy character is a killing machine and a few things that make you go "WHAT?"   I'll watch it again next week.

One show that is tweaking my interested is "Last Resort".

I mean really - does this not look awesome???  FOR A TV SHOW!!

http://youtu.be/lDSttA64KGU

 
-----------------------------------
Mob Doctor.  Hasn't that been canceled yet?  What was that other show that disappeared.  Was it called "Army Hospital" or something (not a clue what that was about either?   Maybe there will be a comedy called "Two Trendy Gay Guys".  You know what I WISH was on DVD.  "China Beach". WHY is that not out on DVD.  Seriously.  You know why China Beach is not on DVD?  The music.  Clearing all of those 1960s songs is just to expensive.

Tonight "Go On" which is funny and "The New Normal" are on. Probably not watch either.  Taking a Chevy Sonic for a test drive tonight and maybe do a catch up episode of either Revenge or Mad Men.

AND DON'T FORGET - "Survivor" premiers Wednesday night just before the season finally of "Big Brother".  

OK - gotta run! 

Cheers